Friday, March 6, 2015

Commentary: Corruption damages tax culture, discouraging compliance

Vincent Lingga, The Jakarta Post, Jakarta | Commentary | Fri, March 06 2015, 
We support the demonstrations on Tuesday by an estimated 400 officials of the Corruption Eradication Commission (KPK) who poured out their frustrations over the government's pathetic attitude toward the weakening of the anticorruption drive and the bashing of the KPK over the past two months.

The demonstrations were triggered by the decision of the KPK leaders to stop processing the corruption case against Comr. Gen Budi Gunawan and hand over it to the Attorney General's Office (AGO), whose institutional integrity is perceived as much lower than that of the KPK. They are afraid the AGO would eventually drop the case within the detested framework of political compromises.

As graft busters who grapple daily with various cases of corruption, KPK officials know for sure that Budi's corruption case is air-tight, rooted in alleged money laundering practices whereby a suspect or defendant is treated with the presumption of guilt. That is because within the framework of the 2002 Money-Laundering Law, the indictment is virtually the verdict as the burden of proof lies on the shoulder of the suspect or defendant. 

Unfortunately, the campaign to debilitate the KPK and the weakening of the national movement against graft is occurring when the estimated 25 million corporate and individual taxpayers are preparing their 2014 income tax returns, which they have to file before the March 31 deadline.

The bashing of the KPK will hurt the government program to expand the tax base and achieve its tax revenue target of 16 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2019, much higher than the current 12 percent, which is the lowest in the ASEAN region.

All over the world, stronger law enforcement alone is never enough to encourage tax compliance. Tax efforts should be undertaken as a campaign to nurture a high level of tax culture, which is key to voluntary tax compliance because there would never be enough auditors in the government payroll to examine taxpayers' returns.

About 20 million people have now been registered as individual income tax payers and this number will increase steadily in line with the higher capacity of the tax system to net new taxpayers.

True, strong law enforcement would help develop voluntary tax compliance by making the cost of tax evasion and non-filing of tax returns very costly to taxpayers. People will fulfill their tax obligations if they know that their chance of being caught by tax officials and auditors is high.

But voluntary tax compliance, which is prompted more by the willingness of people to pay income taxes, is influenced more by the public's perception of the integrity of tax officials, the efficiency of the tax administration and the government's credibility in general, rather than by repressive measures. 

A high degree of voluntary tax compliance (tax culture) requires a climate of mutual trust between taxpayers and tax officials and the public's perception of clean government. Here lies the crucial importance of the anticorruption drive.

But this prerequisite is now being damaged by the bashing of the KPK, so far the most trusted and most powerful and capable corruption buster in the country. 

If the public perceives the government is highly tolerant of corruption, taxpayers may simply ask themselves why they have to pay taxes if most of the money will eventually end up in the pockets of corrupt officials. Taxpayers will go all out to find any loopholes within the taxation system to avoid and to evade taxes.

President Joko "Jokowi" Widodo, who used integrity and clean government as the main pillars of his election platform last year, must also realize the close relationship between taxation and democracy. The more aware the people are of their civic duty as taxpayers, the more assertive they will be with regard to their rights.

As US political thinker Harry L. Hopkins, the architect of the New Deal, which was crafted to cope with the Great Depression in the 1930s, once said, "we shall tax and tax, spend and spend and elect and elect."

The rationale is that there is no taxation without representation as citizens demand something — either in the form of public services or a stronger say in political decisions on resource allocation — in return for increased taxation. 

As government dependence on tax receipts from the people has increased, so has the interaction between the state and society, forcing the government to be more responsible to its citizens. 

This development will exert a political impact as more and more people will see themselves not merely as citizens or "governed people" but as taxpayers who pay the government and its personnel. Further down the road, this also requires civil servants to change their mindset from the ones who regard themselves as the dispensers of free public services to those responsible for serving the ones who pay for the government's operations.

Concerted campaigns by the taxation directorate general and generous incentives offered to registered taxpayers have succeeded in attracting almost 20 million voluntary taxpayer registrations. 

Government regulations have created so many disadvantages for individuals without taxpayer registration numbers that even employees, whose income tax is already withheld by their employers, voluntarily registered themselves to get taxpayer identification cards.

However, the dramatic increase in the number of registered taxpayers will not automatically increase income tax filing, unless the government steadily improves the public's perception of its integrity, as reflected in clean government and high standards of fiscal accountability. 

Monday, February 9, 2015

Commentary : Tax amnesty could lead to money laundering

Vincent Lingga, The Jakarta Post, Jakarta | Headlines | Mon, February 09 2015, 7:48 AM

The idea of a tax amnesty has been in and out of public-policy debate since 2003 or five years after the 1998 political and economic crisis when jittery Indonesian tycoons reportedly rushed overseas billions of dollars in financial assets.

The main objective is to encourage businesspeople who have parked their funds mostly in Singapore to repatriate and plough them back into Indonesia's economy, thereby generating jobs and eventually expanding the tax base.

At first glance, such a facility seemed necessary, but the debates died out on strong public opposition, especially after Boediono took over the leadership of the government's economic team in December 2005. Boediono had strongly opposed the tax amnesty lobbies even when he was finance minister under the Megawati Soekarnoputri administration until late 2004.

Considering the current economic and political conditions, now seems the right time to revive the tax-amnesty concept. The idea is attractive to the government of President Joko "Jokowi"'Widodo, which is strapped for big investment to fund its ambitious programs aimed at spurring growth to over 7 percent from about 5 percent now. The government is also fed up with massive tax evasion, as indicated by the persistently lowest tax ratio in the ASEAN region.

The House of Representatives, where the majority of factions are controlled by political parties chaired by businessmen, certainly loves such a tax pardon. In fact, it was the Indonesian Chamber of Commerce and Industry (Kadin) that aggressively lobbied for that facility between 2003 and 2005.

Their main point of argument is that since the corruption-infested tax directorate general is unable to track tax evaders and uncover their hidden assets, there is no harm in offering them one-shot tax amnesty if the facility can set off massive repatriation of capital.

These proponents also reckon that conglomerates will not hesitate to reinvest in Indonesia to expand the economy and create jobs once their previously hidden assets are declared legitimate under the amnesty program.

The facility also could net a large number of new taxpayers, including small and medium enterprises (SMEs), thereby broadening the tax base for future tax collection. Tax registration will also legitimize SMEs and consequently improve their access to finance.

Then, since the tax court system in the country is perceived to be both corrupt and overburdened, a tax amnesty may allow the tax administration economize on prosecution costs. No wonder, given these potential benefits, many countries, including developed ones, have granted one-shot tax amnesties.

But the opponents of a tax amnesty also have equally strong points against such a scheme, on account of the absence of an efficient, strong tax administration system. The core argument against the tax pardon is that such a facility would mostly benefit the big tycoons, including the former bank owners, who, according to an investigative audit by the Supreme Audit Agency (BPK) in 1999, misused the bulk of the tens of billions of US dollars Bank Indonesia extended in emergency liquidity credits to help bail out the banking industry in 1998
and 1999.

It would gravely insult the public's sense of justice if those tycoons, which had been released from criminal charges under hastily drawn debt-settlement agreements, were granted tax amnesty under a weak and corrupt tax-administration system as it is now.

Such a scheme would virtually allow them to launder their hidden assets.

The opponents argue that despite our desperate need for new private investment, granting an indiscriminate tax amnesty would only damage the credibility of our tax-collection system in the future.

Certainly, big tax evaders who have no good faith in obeying our tax laws would see such tax amnesty only as a once in a lifetime opportunity to get one-shot amnesty for their past tax evasions and debts, and then it will be business as usual under the inefficient and corrupt tax system.

Our tax-administration system is not yet efficient and firm enough to make tax amnesty effective to achieve its main objectives because the facility should be provided through a good mechanism and the tax amnesty period should immediately be followed by strong and consistent law enforcement against tax evaders and manipulators.

Finance Minister Bambang Brodjonegoro said the bold tax measure would be stipulated in the proposed amendments to the General Taxation System Law, which have been put on the priority legislative agenda of the House this year.

The following are several types of tax amnesties that have been implemented in developing and developed countries in the past, including in the United States: one-shot filing amnesty (the waiving of penalties for non-filers who begin filing), record-keeping amnesty (the waiving of penalties for past failure to not maintain statutorily required records provided records now start to be kept), revision amnesty (an opportunity to revise past tax returns without penalty), investigation amnesty (a promise to not investigate the source of incomes disclosed) and prosecution amnesty( immunity from prosecution for detected offenders).

Without clear and credible commitment to administrative reform, an amnesty may signal the weak enforcement capacity of the tax administration, with consequently adverse revenue consequences during and after the amnesty.

A subtle and often neglected signaling effect of an amnesty will impact the workload of the tax administration, given limited administrative resources. The tax directorate general has complained that the number of its tax auditors now is barely one-third of its real need to develop a strong tax-administration system.

Sunday, January 25, 2015

View Point: Plunging price of oil resolves several complex problems for Jokowi

The Jakarta Post, Jakarta | January 25 2015 | 1:30 PM

The more than 55 percent plunge in oil prices since July has resolved several potentially explosive political and economic problems for the new government of President Joko "Jokowi" Widodo.

But he should not get complacent, as the condition is largely a matter of good fortune.

As the saying goes, lightning never strikes twice in the same place. This could be the only oil-price down-cycle during Jokowi's five-year term until October 2019.

The government, therefore, should seize the opportunity for energy reform to reduce the nation's dependence on fossil fuels and gear up the economy for weathering perpetually volatile oil prices.

As a net oil importer since 2004, Indonesia enjoys a state-budget windfall savings every time international oil prices drop steeply that creates fiscal room for a massive cut or the abolishment of fuel subsidies. Now that oil prices have fallen to below US$50 a barrel, the government expects to save almost
Rp 200 trillion ($16 billion) throughout this year.

The government should not succumb to the temptation to squander the huge savings on populist programs. It should instead direct them toward more productive programs in poverty alleviation and infrastructure to improve our economic competitiveness.

The government made the right policy with its quick decision to put domestic fuel prices on a managed floating market-price mechanism early this month.

This move immediately set off a virtuous circle: it will spare the government from wasteful political bickering with the House of Representatives every time international oil prices rise sharply and has freed the government from being held hostage to the wildly volatile international oil market.

In the oil market nothing is simple. Predicting oil prices is always a mug's game because the prices are influenced by both economic and non-economic factors.

In mid-2008, for example, international prices skyrocketed to a peak of almost $150 a barrel, but collapsed to as low as $47 later the same year. A similar down-cycle has taken place since last July.

Consequently, by its very nature oil trading is beset by uncertainty and it is not just due to the precarious geopolitics in countries where most of the world's oil reserves are located.

But bringing domestic fuel prices closer to — or on par with — their economic costs will also remove the fuel-subsidy time bomb.

But more important is that abolishing subsidies will encourage the development of renewable energy, energy efficiency and conservation.

Energy reform will cut Indonesia's trade deficit and, consequently, the current account deficit, which has been exerting strong downward pressure on the rupiah exchange rate.

But energy reform should not end at putting fossil fuels on a managed floating market-price mechanism.

The government should instead bolster energy diversification programs by providing fiscal incentives for investment in developing more biofuels and gas and their infrastructure, mini hydro-power, geothermal and other renewable energies.

In short, the government should launch a more concerted effort to implement the 2007 Energy Law that stipulates strategic measures aimed not only at reducing dependence on fossil fuels but at compelling the government to provide incentives for energy efficiency and conservation.

Companies should be given fiscal incentives to invest in energy-conservation programs, such as in-house management of energy efficiency; performing maintenance and housekeeping measures; replacing select equipment; or modifying entire manufacturing processes.

No one can predict how long the oil price down-cycle will last or where prices will bottom out. But the government should design a formula for determining the ceiling and floor prices for oil to cope with future price volatility.

Ceiling prices should be set at levels that will encourage fuel efficiency, but which will not impose large subsidies on the state budget. Floor prices, meanwhile, should be designed to make the development of renewable energies like biofuels, geothermal and biomass still commercially viable.

The oil-price collapse has changed almost all the basic assumptions used for predicting key economic indicators for the 2015 state budget for the better.

We are glad to learn that the proposed amendments in the 2015 state budget the government proposed to the House will allocate the bulk of savings from the slashed fuel subsidies to developing infrastructure.

The rationale is that poor and inadequate infrastructure has become the biggest barrier to investment and among the main drivers of high logistics costs limiting the competitiveness of exports.

But given the dismal record in infrastructure development over the past decade, the new government should be able to make headway on several vital projects, including roads, airports, seaports and power generation that have been stalled for several years due to arduous land-acquisition procedures.

Making a breakthrough in such high-profile projects as the multibillion dollar Batang power plant in Central Java; the access road to Indonesia's biggest seaport, Tanjung Priok; and the access railway to Soekarno-Hatta International Airport in Tangerang will boost market confidence in the government's capacity to develop basic infrastructure.

Fortunately, this year marked the start of the full enforcement of the 2012 Land Acquisition Law, which provides stronger legal certainty for land appropriation for infrastructure projects.

The law stipulates a clear-cut, shorter time frame for land acquisition, expedites court proceedings for appeal and mandates the appointment of an independent committee for setting compensation levels with property owners.

The acute lack of strong legal frameworks to regulate land acquisition and rampant land speculation has long been the main obstacle to infrastructure development, as the costs of land often make projects financially unfeasible.

Vincent Lingga
The writer is senior editor at The Jakarta Post.


Wednesday, January 21, 2015

The week in review: Crackdown after plane crash

The Jakarta Post | Editorial | Sun, January 11 2015, 9:41 AM

The Dec. 28 crash of AirAsia flight QZ8501 from Surabaya to Singapore has set off an overall review of Indonesia’s civil aviation industry, prompting a series of forensic audits on airline operations and the aviation regulatory system, placing  the country’s airline safety in the international spotlight.

Several heads have rolled within the civil aviation directorate general, the state-owned airport management and other related operating bodies. Even the Corruption Eradication Commission (KPK) has hinted at the possibility of joining the fray as allegations of bribes have surfaced regarding the flight route and slot designation process.   

Findings of investigations that suggest that the flight had not been properly licensed further strengthened the perception that Indonesia is one of the world’s most hazardous places in terms of civil aviation safety.

The government immediately suspended AirAsia’s permit to operate the Surabaya-Singapore route and promised to take equally harsh measures against other airline companies failing to comply properly with the whole process of flight and route permits.

Since 2007, the US has effectively barred Indonesian carriers from increasing flights to American destinations. The EU currently has Indonesia on a “blacklist” with substandard safety records; only the national flag carrier Garuda Indonesia is permitted to fly into the continent

The EU and US have implicitly acknowledged that their great concern is no longer limited to the safety of individual airlines but is also focused on the competence of the civil aviation regulatory body, especially its air safety certification directorate, which is in charge of issuing pilot licenses, aircraft operation certificates for new airlines and safety approval, a function that can make or break an airline.

Deeply rooted in the issues over the country’s air safety standards is the integrity and technical competence of the air safety certification directorate.            

In sharp contrast to these air safety concerns, the full-fledged liberalization of civil aviation has spurred high growth in the industry. There are about 400 planes carrying more than 50 million travelers annually. Air traffic has been growing at annual rate of over 15 percent.

As of last May, the International Civil Aviation Organization’s audits assessed Indonesia’s air-safety oversight system as inadequate, even below Pakistan and India.  Likewise, the EU noted late last year that the air safety oversight system in Indonesia still needed substantial improvement.

Transportation Minister Ignasius Jonan promised an overall reform of the whole civil aviation regulatory and operating bodies, covering such aspects as route licensing, slot allotment, air traffic control services allotment, airport management and navigation and aircraft inspection.            

The Transportation Ministry went further to even intervene in the flight fare structure by fixing the minimum ticket prices of scheduled airliners to as high as 40 percent of the mandated ceiling (maximum) fares. This boils down to an increase of 10 percentage points in the lowest fares allowed for all scheduled services, including those of low-cost or budget airliners.

The ministry argued that the higher fare structure would give airline companies adequate financial space for maintaining reliable flight safety standards.

Even though analysts argue that such a market intervention appeared to be an overkill as  there was no direct link between ticket prices and safety, civil aviation officials still think that such tough measures are required to maintain public confidence in the industry.

Hopefully, this “air safety turbulence” will not affect the implementation of the ASEAN Open Skies policy, set to be fully effective by the end of the year, because this policy will boost connectivity and people’s movements in the region and in turn spur regional economic growth.

Under the new policy, Southeast Asia’s skies will be transformed into a single aviation market as part of the ASEAN Economic Community commitments.         

 ****

Indonesia, a country with the world’s largest Muslim population, has joined other nations in condemning the brutal shootings at the office of the satirical magazine Charlie Hebdo in Paris that killed 12 people, including three cartoonists, the chief editor and two police officers.

No form of violence can be accepted and Indonesia supports France’s efforts to bring the perpetrators to justice, Foreign Minister Retno LP Marsudi said.

Indonesian Ulema Council (MUI) chairman for international relations, Muhyiddin Junaidi, said the international community should not generalize the attack as a part of Islam but he conceded that the shootings could strengthen anti-Muslim feelings.

In Banda Aceh, Rosnida Sari, a Muslim lecturer at Ar-Raniry State Islamic University, has been intimidated and threatened by Acehnese clerics and fellow lecturers and bullied in social media after she invited a number of her students to visit and hold dialogues in a church in Banda Aceh last week.

Rosnida said she had been accused of “Christianizing” her students and had been temporarily suspended by the university.

She defended her initiative, arguing that the church visit, conducted voluntarily, was part of her creative teaching method to make Muslim students understand other faiths and build mutual understanding and religious tolerance.

An alliance of NGOs have called on the government to protect Rosnida and uphold academic freedom.

— Vincent Lingga -




Friday, December 19, 2014

With weak oil market, time is ripe for managed floating fuel prices

Vincent Lingga, The Jakarta Post, Jakarta | Headline | Thur, December 17 2014.

Now that steadily declining international oil prices have hit a five-year low at US$60/ barrel, compared to the $105 average assumed for the 2015 fiscal year, the government has a great opportunity to slash, or even abolish, the wasteful spending on fuel subsidies that cost almost $20 billion annually over the last three years.

When subsidized fuel prices are on par with international levels, which analysts estimate can occur when oil prices fall to as low as $60/ barrel, the government could put fuel prices on a managed float mechanism where prices will adjust according to market rates, as Malaysia did earlier this month. This mechanism was adopted in early 2002 under Megawati Soekarnoputri’s administration.

It was called a “managed float”, not a “free-float” system because the mechanism was still tied to fixed-ceiling prices, whereby the government could intervene in retail-fuel prices if oil prices increased dramatically.

But President Joko “Jokowi” Widodo seems to favor a fixed-subsidy mechanism, a move campaigned for by former finance minister Chatib Basri over the past two years. But then president Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono and the House of Representatives didn’t support that idea.

The fixed-subsidy scheme will fix the rupiah price of fuel subsidy per liter, irrespective of oil-market price developments or rupiah-rate movements.
Under this regime, the price of fuel subsidies per liter will neither fluctuate alongside oil-market prices nor rupiah-rate quotations, as it will be the price of the subsidized fuels that must rise or fall monthly following the oil-market quotations.

But whichever of the two alternative policies the government chooses, the decision should be based on the real economic costs of domestically refined and imported fuels, calculated in a transparent and credible manner. As we now depend on imports for almost 60 percent of our daily fuel needs of 1.66 million barrels and because imports consist of both crude oil and refined oil products, the production costs can vary, depending on the sources.

The problem, though, is that independent analysts and the general public tend to question the reliability of the production-cost figures used as price references by the state oil company, Pertamina, to estimate the fuel subsidies.

Under the current fuel-subsidy regime, the prices of subsidized fuels are fixed at a certain level. However, the final amount of subsidies ultimately depends on the average oil-market price and the rupiah exchange rate. Since oil prices and the rupiah exchange rate tend to fluctuate wildly, the final amount of fuel subsidies also tends to increase dramatically.

The benefits of implementing a fuel-price floating system or a fixed-subsidy scheme are quite obvious: It will relieve the government from the burden of having to haggling with the House every time international oil prices rise sharply, and it will free the government from being held hostage to the wildly volatile international oil market.

Predicting oil prices is always a mug’s game, as prices are influenced by both economic and non-economic factors. In mid-2008, for example, international prices skyrocketed to a peak of almost $150/ barrel, but plunged to as low as $47 later in the same year.

Bringing fuel prices closer to their true costs will also remove the fuel-subsidy time bomb from the government’s fiscal management.

But even more importantly, abolishing subsidies will encourage the development of renewable energy, promote energy efficiency and energy conservation. It will also help stop fuel-export smuggling, which has been rampant due to the porous coastal borders of the world’s largest archipelago.

Energy reform will also cut Indonesia’s trade and, consequently, the current-account deficit, which has been exerting strong downward pressures on the rupiah exchange rate.

Our experience during the first year of the flotation policy in 2002 showed that by allowing for automatic monthly price adjustments, the government was able to provide policy predictability for the market and protect the economy from sharp price adjustments and their shocking inflationary pressures.

The price signals conveyed by this policy will serve as a guideline for companies to conduct in-house management of energy efficiency through maintenance. It will also encourage companies to take housekeeping measures and replace equipment, which could require additional investments or the modification of the entire manufacturing process — moves that may require large-scale investments.

Cheaper oil should also create the momentum needed for the government to gradually phase out the low-quality gasoline with RON (registered octane number) 88.

Most countries have shifted to fuel with RON levels above 90, which are cleaner burning, more efficient and make engines perform better. Malaysia, for example, has long used only RON 95 and RON 97 fuels. Before Malaysia fully floated its fuel prices earlier this month, RON 95 gasoline was sold at RM2.30 (Rp 9,200) per liter, carrying a subsidy of Rp 520/liter. RON 97 gasoline (non-subsidized) was sold at the equivalent of Rp 10,200.
It would technically be impossible to stop selling RON 88 gasoline (strangely called “premium” gasoline) immediately due to the limited capacity of domestic refineries. But technical preparations for a gradual phase-out of this low-quality fuel should be made as part of the overall fuel reform program.






Monday, December 1, 2014

View Point: Shaking up and cleansing the oil regulatory body

Vincent Lingga, The Jakarta Post, Jakarta | Opinion | Sun, November 30 2014, 1:15 PM

Thursday, November 27, 2014

Finding the best path toward sustainable palm oil